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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 125,961.58–126,208.5 (+9.7%) | 12 | 0.2% | 56m | 3.4d ago · 89× | 6% ±7 | 51% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±19 | 36% ±38 | > 7d | 1.18% | 0.91% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+5.9%) | 7.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 5% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 39% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 25% ±32 | 65% ±54 | 6.1d | 1.13% | 0.75% | 129 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+5.8%) | 7.1 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 15% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±20 | 43% ±49 | 81% ±54 | 4.3d | 1.43% | 1.14% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,282.42 (+4.7%) | 5.8 | 1.9% | 13h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 15% ±14 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 35% ±33 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 115,714.4 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | 5.8% | 3.7d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 77% ±25 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 55% ±12 | 77% ±24 | 90% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 3h | 0.99% | 0.85% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 114,864.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 113,862.5–114,603.26 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 90% ±16 | 54% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 77% ±9 | 90% ±16 | 93% ±26 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,862.5 (-0.9%) | 1.1 | 2.8% | 17h | 2.0d ago · 57× | 82% ±27 | 32% ±23 | 11% ±15 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 50% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 94% | 3h | 0.62% | 1.69% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,874.82 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.9d ago · 100× | 50% ±21 | 53% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 18% ±7 | 50% ±21 | 68% ±34 | 76% ±49 | 1.0d | 1.27% | 0.60% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-5.4%) | 6.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 12% ±13 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 23% ±29 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 114,864.5 | 121,640.48 | 111,684.67 | expired | +0.69% |