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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,467.74 (+11.1%) | 13 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±14 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 240 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+7.7%) | 9.0 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 82× | 1% ±5 | 55% ±18 | 16% ±14 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 15% ±25 | 69% ±53 | 6.0d | 1.22% | 0.62% | 138 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+7.6%) | 8.8 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 10% ±16 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 32% ±41 | 77% ±58 | 4.6d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,294.74–119,413.24 (+5.6%) | 6.6 | 1.0% | 3h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 12% ±10 | 45% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±10 | 34% ±26 | 46% ±44 | 6.7d | 1.01% | 1.20% | 226 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,862.5 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 51× | 71% ±34 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 38% ±14 | 69% ±32 | 91% ±33 | 98% | 7h | 1.11% | 1.19% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,939.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 111,763.68–112,050.66 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 5.7% | 1.6d | 3.0d ago · 115× | 86% ±16 | 51% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 41% ±16 | 36 | 59% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 92% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 3h | 1.27% | 0.71% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,445.44 (-3.1%) | 3.6 | 3.6% | 2.4d | 2.9d ago · 100× | 32% ±16 | 53% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±16 | 50% ±28 | 63% ±42 | 3.1d | 1.27% | 0.60% | 210 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-3.8%) | 4.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 17% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±17 | 33% ±38 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.