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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,467.74 (+11.7%) | 13 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 239 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+8.3%) | 9.4 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 82× | 2% ±5 | 55% ±18 | 16% ±14 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±24 | 70% ±52 | 6.0d | 1.22% | 0.62% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+8.2%) | 9.2 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.9d ago · 79× | 9% ±16 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 32% ±46 | 78% ±57 | 4.6d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,294.74 (+6.2%) | 7.0 | 1.0% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 6% ±8 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±25 | 34% ±41 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 206 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 118,733.62 (+5.7%) | 6.5 | 1.5% | 11h | 3.6d ago · 89× | 15% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 40% ±27 | 50% ±40 | 7.0d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,615.58 (+1.2%) | 1.3 | 3.6% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 51× | 63% ±34 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 27% ±12 | 60% ±34 | 87% ±38 | 98% | 14h | 1.11% | 1.19% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,292.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 111,763.68–112,050.66 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.0% | 1.7d | 2.9d ago · 115× | 93% ±14 | 51% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 41% ±16 | 36 | 71% ±10 | 93% ±13 | 94% ±20 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 1.27% | 0.71% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,445.44 (-2.5%) | 2.9 | 3.7% | 2.4d | 2.8d ago · 100× | 40% ±18 | 52% ±18 | 12% ±12 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 12% ±5 | 41% ±18 | 58% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 1.7d | 1.23% | 0.81% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-3.2%) | 3.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 22.3d ago · 37× | 18% ±20 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±20 | 38% ±43 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 112,292.4 | 118,733.62 | 109,445.44 | expired | -1.22% |