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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,961.58 (+13.7%) | 18 | 0.2% | 49m | 3.4d ago · 67× | 1% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±13 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+9.8%) | 13 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.2d ago · 82× | 2% ±7 | 55% ±18 | 16% ±14 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 5% ±18 | 76% ±48 | 5.7d | 1.22% | 0.62% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,294.74 (+7.7%) | 10 | 0.9% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 2% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 269 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,517.37 (+4.3%) | 5.8 | 3.8% | 2.3d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 16% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 43% ±26 | 52% ±40 | 6.5d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 245 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,874.82 (+1.9%) | 2.6 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 51× | 45% ±27 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±26 | 77% ±37 | 99% ±15 | 1.3d | 1.11% | 1.19% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 111,763.68–112,072.71 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 5.5% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 72% ±23 | 37% ±16 | 14% ±12 | 49% ±17 | 33 | 43% ±10 | 71% ±22 | 87% ±29 | 90% ±41 | 6h | 1.05% | 0.85% | 95 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 110,899.46–116,084.78 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 80% ±23 | 43% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 77% ±10 | 81% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 0.85% | 1.17% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,760.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 110,183.7 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 78% ±20 | 52% ±18 | 12% ±12 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 53% ±10 | 76% ±20 | 87% ±27 | 92% ±38 | 4h | 1.23% | 0.81% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-1.9%) | 2.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 30% ±34 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 14% ±10 | 28% ±31 | 47% ±56 | 57% | 3.3d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 49 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.