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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,010.86 (+9.5%) | 12 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 5% ±6 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 10% ±16 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 257 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+9.0%) | 12 | 2.9% | 24h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 9% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 27% ±44 | 78% ±58 | 4.8d | 0.85% | 1.17% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,047.82 (+6.8%) | 8.7 | 1.0% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 3% ±5 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±17 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 266 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,428.35 (+3.6%) | 4.5 | 3.8% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 23% ±14 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 2.6d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 219 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 111,516.76–111,763.68 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.2% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 91% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 15% ±12 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 77% ±9 | 91% ±15 | 95% ±20 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.11% | 0.77% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,470.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 110,128.6 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 60% ±20 | 52% ±18 | 12% ±12 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 28% ±8 | 62% ±20 | 79% ±30 | 84% ±42 | 11h | 1.23% | 0.81% | 134 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,417.94 (-1.8%) | 2.4 | 3.4% | 2.3d | 2.0d ago · 57× | 56% ±27 | 33% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 57% ±23 | 18 | 16% ±8 | 56% ±27 | 73% ±44 | 79% ±57 | 18h | 0.65% | 1.69% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-2.5%) | 3.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 18% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±21 | 39% ±48 | 50% ±69 | 6.3d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.