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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,010.86 (+11.7%) | 13 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±13 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 247 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,047.82 (+9.0%) | 10 | 1.1% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 2% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 268 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,363.63 (+5.7%) | 6.4 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 15% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 39% ±27 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,482.24–111,763.68 (+2.1%) | 2.4 | 5.6% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 47% ±27 | 44% ±17 | 15% ±12 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 17% ±8 | 48% ±27 | 71% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 1.1d | 1.11% | 0.76% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 110,899.46–115,837.86 (+1.6%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 56% ±24 | 43% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 26% ±9 | 56% ±24 | 83% ±33 | 90% ±42 | 18h | 0.85% | 1.17% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,118.51 (+0.9%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 85% ±22 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 52% ±13 | 85% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 97% | 3h | 1.46% | 0.85% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 109,182.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 108,183.34–108,430.26 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 0.5% | 50m | 2.0d ago · 57× | 86% ±22 | 30% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 61% ±22 | 18 | 58% ±13 | 86% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 95% | 2h | 0.73% | 1.79% | 56 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 109,182.9 | 111,763.68 | 106,519.1 | stop | -2.61% |