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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,010.86 (+13.2%) | 14 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,294.74 (+10.7%) | 11 | 1.0% | 4h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 2% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 9% ±14 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 269 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,363.63 (+7.0%) | 7.6 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 12% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 34% ±26 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,482.24–111,763.68 (+3.4%) | 3.7 | 5.8% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 27% ±21 | 44% ±17 | 15% ±12 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 7% ±5 | 27% ±21 | 50% ±40 | 61% ±55 | 3.0d | 1.11% | 0.76% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,118.51 (+2.2%) | 2.3 | 1.9% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 59% ±31 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 11% ±8 | 59% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 97% | 17h | 1.46% | 0.85% | 61 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 109,171.02–109,664.86 (+1.3%) | 1.4 | 3.1% | 1.7d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 59% ±24 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 38% ±10 | 59% ±24 | 84% ±32 | 91% ±40 | 12h | 1.14% | 1.15% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,430.26 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 0.8% | 2h | 23.4d ago · 35× | 70% ±34 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 42% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 93% ±35 | 98% | 6h | 1.41% | 0.80% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 107,796.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 107,442.58 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 0.3% | 36m | 2.0d ago · 57× | 84% ±29 | 33% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 57% ±23 | 18 | 69% ±15 | 85% ±29 | 90% ±42 | 95% | 1h | 0.65% | 1.69% | 37 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.