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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,010.86 (+12.2%) | 13 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 252 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,047.82 (+9.5%) | 10 | 1.2% | 5h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 2% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 25% ±32 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 273 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,363.63 (+6.1%) | 6.4 | 4.0% | 1.9d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 14% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 39% ±27 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,482.24–111,763.68 (+2.5%) | 2.7 | 6.0% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 44% ±25 | 44% ±17 | 15% ±12 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 14% ±7 | 45% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 75% ±60 | 1.2d | 1.11% | 0.76% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,118.51 (+1.3%) | 1.3 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 79% ±27 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 38% ±13 | 78% ±27 | 87% ±38 | 96% | 8h | 1.46% | 0.85% | 56 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 109,171.02–109,664.86 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 1.8d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 81% ±21 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 71% ±10 | 81% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 1.14% | 1.15% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 108,738.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 107,442.58–107,936.42 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 57× | 83% ±22 | 30% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 61% ±22 | 18 | 54% ±12 | 84% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 94% ±33 | 4h | 0.73% | 1.79% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 108,738.1 | 111,763.68 | 105,936.37 | stop | -1.80% |