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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,763.94 (+14.5%) | 14 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±13 | 28% ±36 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 236 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,035.5 (+12.9%) | 13 | 1.8% | 14h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,681.59 (+8.8%) | 8.6 | 3.4% | 2.3d | 3.6d ago · 89× | 11% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 28% ±24 | 42% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 234 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 111,516.76–111,763.68 (+4.9%) | 4.8 | 6.2% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 117× | 16% ±17 | 45% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±16 | 36% ±36 | 51% ±57 | 4.3d | 1.18% | 0.73% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,948.1 (+3.4%) | 3.3 | 2.0% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 76× | 42% ±31 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±29 | 61% ±48 | 81% ±54 | 1.8d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 65 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 109,171.02–109,664.86 (+2.7%) | 2.6 | 3.4% | 1.9d | 1.9d ago · 79× | 45% ±22 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±22 | 79% ±33 | 90% ±34 | 1.2d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 107,442.58 (+1.0%) | 1.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 23.3d ago · 35× | 70% ±30 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 40% ±13 | 71% ±30 | 95% ±26 | 98% | 6h | 1.41% | 0.80% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 106,331.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 104,232.62 (-2.0%) | 1.9 | 0.4% | 33m | 1.9d ago · 57× | 68% ±28 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 24% ±10 | 69% ±27 | 78% ±41 | 85% ±49 | 11h | 0.63% | 2.02% | 66 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.