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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,517.02 (+13.6%) | 14 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±13 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 239 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,282.42 (+12.4%) | 13 | 1.8% | 14h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,480.14 (+8.0%) | 8.3 | 3.3% | 2.2d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 11% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±25 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,377.42–111,763.68 (+4.1%) | 4.3 | 5.4% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 21% ±18 | 45% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 3.8d | 1.18% | 0.73% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,009.85 (+2.8%) | 3.0 | 1.9% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 49% ±30 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 10% ±7 | 48% ±30 | 67% ±46 | 89% ±44 | 1.1d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 109,171.02–109,664.86 (+2.1%) | 2.1 | 3.3% | 1.9d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 49% ±24 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 16% ±7 | 49% ±24 | 77% ±37 | 90% ±42 | 1.1d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 107,442.58 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 0.5% | 1h | 23.4d ago · 35× | 68% ±37 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 44% ±16 | 68% ±37 | 92% ±37 | 97% | 5h | 1.41% | 0.80% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 106,970 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 104,232.62 (-2.6%) | 2.7 | 0.4% | 30m | 2.0d ago · 57× | 48% ±25 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 13% ±7 | 48% ±24 | 66% ±42 | 73% ±61 | 1.3d | 0.63% | 2.02% | 93 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.