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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 101,418.88 (+18.2%) | 26 | 1.9% | 13h | 7.4d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 6% ±20 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 240 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 97,132.64–98,969.6 (+13.3%) | 19 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 1% ±4 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 32% ±41 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,083.88 (+8.5%) | 12 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 4% ±5 | 50% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 8% ±11 | 25% ±27 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 400 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,765.86 (+8.2%) | 12 | 0.9% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 5% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±16 | 25% ±32 | > 7d | 1.02% | 0.96% | 313 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,920.26–91,465.6 (+6.0%) | 8.5 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 4% ±6 | 47% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±20 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 1.49% | 0.74% | 245 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,268.34 (+1.7%) | 2.5 | 2.4% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 76× | 48% ±24 | 48% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 28 | 9% ±6 | 48% ±24 | 66% ±42 | 87% ±47 | 1.1d | 1.63% | 1.08% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 86,148.39 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.6% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 65% ±33 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 47% ±14 | 65% ±33 | 80% ±46 | 94% | 6h | 1.65% | 0.71% | 47 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 85,804.72–87,947.84 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 79× | 85% ±17 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 78% ±8 | 85% ±17 | 93% ±22 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.60% | 1.16% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 85,767.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 81,518.48 (-5.0%) | 7.0 | 0.2% | 13m | 22.0d ago · 37× | 8% ±9 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 21% ±22 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 225 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 85,767.7 | 84,530.11 | 91,465.6 | target | -1.35% |