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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 101,418.88 (+16.8%) | 23 | 2.0% | 14h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±20 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 293 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 97,132.64–98,969.6 (+11.9%) | 16 | 0.6% | 3h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 1% ±3 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 16% ±19 | 32% ±37 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 244 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 92,765.86–93,083.88 (+6.9%) | 9.4 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 8% ±7 | 47% ±17 | 7% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 15% ±15 | 29% ±30 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.92% | 373 → 9 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,920.26–91,465.6 (+4.7%) | 6.5 | 2.7% | 1.3d | 2.7d ago · 117× | 8% ±8 | 47% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 23% ±22 | 47% ±40 | 6.5d | 1.49% | 0.74% | 244 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 90,090.96–92,234.08 (+3.8%) | 5.2 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 16% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 40% ±27 | 69% ±37 | 4.7d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 236 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,189.8 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.5d ago · 76× | 81% ±22 | 48% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 28 | 60% ±11 | 81% ±22 | 88% ±32 | 96% ±27 | 2h | 1.63% | 1.08% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 86,811 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 86,148.39 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 75% ±22 | 32% ±18 | 7% ±10 | 61% ±19 | 25 | 47% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 79% ±35 | 85% ±50 | 5h | 0.63% | 1.97% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,518.48 (-6.1%) | 8.3 | 0.2% | 14m | 21.9d ago · 37× | 8% ±8 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±38 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 271 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 86,811 | 91,465.6 | 84,900 | stop | -0.43% |