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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 101,075.48–103,785.47 (+11.1%) | 13 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 5% ±8 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 15% ±22 | 36% ±47 | > 7d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 183 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 100,473.26 (+10.4%) | 12 | 1.3% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 15% ±22 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 413 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 97,161.05–98,967.71 (+6.8%) | 7.7 | 0.7% | 3h | 9.2d ago · 53× | 8% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 28% ±28 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,336.48 (+1.5%) | 1.7 | 1.7% | 10h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 65% ±20 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 31% ±8 | 66% ±20 | 78% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 13h | 1.02% | 0.96% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 91,289.41 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 1.8d | 2.6d ago · 71× | 85% ±18 | 41% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 59% ±10 | 85% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 96% ±28 | 3h | 1.36% | 0.66% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 90,976.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 90,712–90,895.91 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 115× | 89% ±15 | 42% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 49% ±14 | 47 | 73% ±9 | 89% ±15 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 1.21% | 0.83% | 100 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 85,417.76–87,826.64 (-3.5%) | 3.9 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 40% ±20 | 56% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 7% ±4 | 39% ±20 | 57% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 1.7d | 1.14% | 0.71% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 86,853.02–86,936 (-4.4%) | 5.0 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 100× | 24% ±11 | 53% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 46% ±23 | 65% ±33 | 4.4d | 1.28% | 1.14% | 321 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,416 (-8.3%) | 9.4 | 0.9% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 6% ±7 | 31% ±18 | 7% ±10 | 62% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±19 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 0.65% | 2.00% | 330 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,503.33 (-10.4%) | 12 | 0.3% | 18m | 21.8d ago · 37× | 6% ±6 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 14% ±16 | 25% ±30 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 338 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 90,976.1 | 81,503.33 | 100,473.26 | expired | -2.15% |