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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 101,072.34–103,704.5 (+10.3%) | 12 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 5% ±8 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 17% ±22 | 40% ±43 | > 7d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 202 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 100,194.95 (+9.4%) | 11 | 1.0% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±22 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 404 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 96,977.87–99,317.57 (+5.8%) | 6.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 9.2d ago · 53× | 10% ±11 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 29% ±30 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,336.48 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 78% ±18 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 54% ±9 | 77% ±18 | 85% ±27 | 85% ±40 | 4h | 1.02% | 0.96% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 91,620.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 90,765.5–91,274.86 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.2% | 1.8d | 2.4d ago · 115× | 86% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 47 | 62% ±8 | 86% ±14 | 89% ±22 | 94% ±24 | 2h | 1.18% | 0.88% | 149 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 85,571.85–87,911.55 (-4.0%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.6d ago · 98× | 36% ±19 | 56% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 4% ±3 | 35% ±19 | 51% ±35 | 60% ±55 | 2.6d | 1.14% | 0.71% | 146 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 86,853.02–86,937.75 (-5.1%) | 5.8 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 100× | 19% ±10 | 53% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±10 | 39% ±23 | 59% ±34 | 5.1d | 1.28% | 1.14% | 330 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,235.5 (-9.2%) | 10 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 6% ±7 | 31% ±18 | 7% ±10 | 62% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±19 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 0.65% | 2.00% | 327 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,477.39 (-11.1%) | 13 | 0.3% | 17m | 21.8d ago · 37× | 5% ±6 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±15 | 26% ±30 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 341 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 91,620.3 | 100,194.95 | 81,477.39 | expired | +1.52% |