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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 101,083.2–103,851.2 (+8.3%) | 9.4 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 7% ±8 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 25% ±23 | 50% ±40 | > 7d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 252 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 99,976 (+7.2%) | 8.1 | 0.9% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 3% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±14 | 20% ±28 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 338 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 93,609.6–93,886.4 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 9.2d ago · 53× | 85% ±20 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 66% ±11 | 85% ±20 | 95% ±22 | 95% ±32 | 2h | 2.08% | 0.56% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 93,302.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 93,069.2 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.0% | 7h | 3.2d ago · 72× | 84% ±25 | 43% ±19 | 14% ±14 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 67% ±13 | 84% ±25 | 88% ±36 | 94% | 1h | 1.10% | 1.28% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 90,288–92,225.6 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 2.0% | 12h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 76% ±18 | 56% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 43% ±9 | 76% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 89% ±36 | 6h | 1.14% | 0.71% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 90,756.24–91,256.8 (-2.2%) | 2.5 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 2.4d ago · 115× | 50% ±20 | 44% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 47 | 16% ±6 | 50% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 76% ±49 | 1.0d | 1.18% | 0.88% | 141 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 86,963.72–86,977.1 (-6.8%) | 7.7 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 100× | 10% ±8 | 53% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 29% ±22 | 50% ±37 | > 7d | 1.28% | 1.14% | 304 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,299.76 (-10.7%) | 12 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 7% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 60% ±18 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±19 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 0.66% | 1.97% | 335 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,430.4 (-12.7%) | 14 | 0.3% | 15m | 21.8d ago · 37× | 4% ±5 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±14 | 23% ±29 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 343 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 93,302.2 | 99,394.3 | 90,990.15 | expired | +0.02% |