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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 101,292.75–102,367.7 (+8.9%) | 11 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 7% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±22 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 1.60% | 1.22% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 98,336.64 (+5.7%) | 6.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 6% ±7 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±19 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 265 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 96,724.22–99,411.59 (+4.0%) | 4.7 | 0.8% | 4h | 9.2d ago · 53× | 29% ±21 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 5% ±4 | 28% ±20 | 45% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 4.1d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 93,769.04 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 77% ±18 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 45% ±16 | 35 | 54% ±9 | 78% ±17 | 85% ±26 | 86% ±40 | 4h | 1.04% | 0.96% | 131 → 3 | |
| at post · 93,013.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 90,274.53–92,961.9 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 88% ±16 | 56% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 78% ±8 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±24 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 1.14% | 0.71% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 90,652.9–91,215.11 (-1.9%) | 2.3 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 2.4d ago · 115× | 55% ±20 | 45% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 46% ±14 | 48 | 18% ±6 | 54% ±20 | 72% ±31 | 78% ±40 | 20h | 1.19% | 0.85% | 147 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,425.65 (-6.0%) | 7.1 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 14% ±9 | 60% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 32% ±14 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 28% ±21 | 50% ±35 | > 7d | 1.43% | 1.48% | 328 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 86,917.03 (-6.6%) | 7.8 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 6% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 33% ±33 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | 1.09% | 0.67% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,958.5 (-11.9%) | 14 | 0.4% | 34m | 1.4d ago · 57× | 4% ±5 | 33% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 60% ±18 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 21% ±19 | 38% ±34 | > 7d | 0.66% | 1.97% | 326 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,406.21 (-12.5%) | 15 | 0.2% | 13m | 21.8d ago · 37× | 4% ±5 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 10% ±14 | 23% ±29 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 349 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 93,013.9 | 90,909.32 | 94,910.85 | target | +0.81% |