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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 101,292.75–102,367.7 (+8.5%) | 10 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.6d ago · 79× | 6% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±22 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 1.60% | 1.22% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 97,799.17 (+4.8%) | 5.9 | 0.2% | 40m | 7.4d ago · 38× | 10% ±10 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 25% ±24 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 214 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 96,724.22–99,411.59 (+3.7%) | 4.5 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 34% ±23 | 50% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 6% ±5 | 34% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 65% ±54 | 2.1d | 2.08% | 0.56% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 93,977.02 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | 1.1% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 79% ±18 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 45% ±16 | 35 | 57% ±9 | 80% ±17 | 86% ±26 | 87% ±39 | 3h | 1.04% | 0.96% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 93,317.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 90,274.53–92,961.9 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 98× | 90% ±14 | 56% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 73% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 1.14% | 0.71% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH | 90,652.9–91,215.11 (-2.3%) | 2.8 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 2.6d ago · 115× | 45% ±20 | 46% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 46% ±14 | 48 | 12% ±5 | 44% ±19 | 64% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 1.3d | 1.22% | 0.84% | 154 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,529.64 (-6.2%) | 7.6 | 2.7% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 100× | 13% ±9 | 60% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 32% ±14 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 27% ±21 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 1.43% | 1.48% | 314 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 86,917.03 (-6.9%) | 8.4 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 4% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 31% ±32 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 1.09% | 0.67% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,958.5 (-12.2%) | 15 | 0.4% | 33m | 1.6d ago · 57× | 4% ±5 | 33% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 60% ±18 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 21% ±19 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 0.66% | 1.97% | 317 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 81,406.21 (-12.8%) | 16 | 0.2% | 13m | 22.0d ago · 37× | 3% ±5 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±13 | 22% ±29 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 350 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 93,317.8 | 90,909.32 | 95,137.55 | target | +1.43% |