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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,261.69–98,874.12 (+3.3%) | 4.4 | 0.5% | 3h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 32% ±21 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 7% ±5 | 32% ±21 | 48% ±40 | 60% ±55 | 3.6d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 94,146.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 93,480.23–93,768.11 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.1d ago · 58× | 78% ±27 | 43% ±22 | 12% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 20 | 57% ±13 | 78% ±27 | 87% ±37 | 91% | 2h | 1.47% | 0.88% | 56 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 88,930.85–93,499.38 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 98× | 84% ±14 | 58% ±13 | 16% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 52 | 60% ±8 | 84% ±14 | 92% ±17 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 1.31% | 0.69% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,683.74 (-1.6%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 72× | 46% ±24 | 41% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 15% ±7 | 46% ±24 | 60% ±43 | 70% ±64 | 1.5d | 1.13% | 1.31% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,976.78–91,215.11 (-3.1%) | 4.2 | 4.9% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 27% ±19 | 47% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 41% ±16 | 35 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±19 | 53% ±37 | 66% ±54 | 2.9d | 1.15% | 0.83% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 90,287.14 (-4.1%) | 5.5 | 3.5% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 115× | 22% ±15 | 45% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±15 | 51% ±31 | 68% ±46 | 3.0d | 1.16% | 0.74% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 88,899.44–89,105.71 (-5.4%) | 7.2 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 100× | 11% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 27% ±20 | 47% ±35 | 6.8d | 1.17% | 1.64% | 347 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 83,824.84 (-11.0%) | 15 | 1.2% | 6h | 21.9d ago · 37× | 3% ±4 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±13 | 21% ±27 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 383 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 94,146.8 | 97,724.83 | 90,287.14 | expired | -2.15% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 94,146.8 | 98,727.59 | 90,976.78 | expired | -2.15% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 94,146.8 | 95,783.64 | 91,215.11 | expired | -2.15% |