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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,261.69–98,874.12 (+4.5%) | 5.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 14% ±13 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 32% ±31 | 52% ±49 | 6.6d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 94,574.32 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 46% ±31 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 14% ±9 | 46% ±31 | 69% ±52 | 78% | 1.2d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 93,585.79–93,662.29 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 77% ±18 | 49% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 36 | 58% ±9 | 77% ±18 | 82% ±29 | 84% ±41 | 3h | 1.18% | 0.92% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 93,075.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 92,803.92 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.7% | 19h | 2.7d ago · 115× | 89% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 68% ±8 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.16% | 0.74% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,947.39–91,215.11 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 5.0% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 51% ±24 | 47% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 41% ±16 | 35 | 16% ±7 | 51% ±24 | 71% ±36 | 79% ±56 | 23h | 1.15% | 0.83% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 89,954.11 (-3.4%) | 4.3 | 2.9% | 17h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 28% ±12 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 31% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±12 | 49% ±23 | 65% ±33 | 3.5d | 1.47% | 1.45% | 329 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,955.12 (-4.4%) | 5.7 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 11% ±9 | 33% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 60% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 28% ±23 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 0.66% | 1.97% | 267 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 85,706–87,855.9 (-5.6%) | 7.2 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 98× | 21% ±14 | 58% ±13 | 16% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 52 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±14 | 43% ±29 | 52% ±44 | 6.3d | 1.31% | 0.69% | 198 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 84,631.06 (-9.1%) | 12 | 1.7% | 12h | 21.9d ago · 37× | 5% ±6 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±14 | 24% ±28 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 376 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 93,075.2 | 92,803.92 | 94,329.76 | target | +0.72% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 93,075.2 | 90,947.39 | 94,419.31 | stop | +0.72% |