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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,423.1–98,678.55 (+7.8%) | 9.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 5% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±21 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 268 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 96,167.64 (+6.4%) | 7.7 | 1.3% | 13h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 5% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±16 | 24% ±29 | > 7d | 0.85% | 1.75% | 348 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 93,250.27–93,262.72 (+3.2%) | 3.8 | 2.4% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 89× | 26% ±13 | 49% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±13 | 56% ±25 | 63% ±39 | 2.3d | 1.23% | 0.94% | 272 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 92,048.55 (+1.8%) | 2.2 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 56% ±22 | 42% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±14 | 47 | 21% ±7 | 56% ±22 | 74% ±35 | 79% ±46 | 20h | 1.53% | 0.88% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 91,270.46–91,271.37 (+1.0%) | 1.2 | 5.4% | 2.2d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 78% ±17 | 48% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 49% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 91% ±20 | 93% ±29 | 5h | 1.36% | 0.75% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 90,386.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 89,748.1 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 24h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 79% ±16 | 61% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 50% ±8 | 79% ±16 | 89% ±21 | 94% ±24 | 4h | 1.48% | 1.36% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 89,278.19 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 57× | 68% ±22 | 33% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 60% ±18 | 27 | 31% ±9 | 68% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 81% ±54 | 11h | 0.66% | 1.97% | 101 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 85,872.91–87,881.64 (-2.8%) | 3.4 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 42% ±18 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 8% ±4 | 42% ±18 | 61% ±32 | 69% ±45 | 1.5d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 170 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,375.09 (-4.4%) | 5.4 | 3.0% | 19h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 12% ±11 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 28% ±26 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 197 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 90,386.6 | 92,048.55 | 89,117.71 | target | +2.18% |