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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,507.66–98,750.87 (+8.2%) | 9.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 5% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±21 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 96,264.45 (+6.8%) | 8.0 | 1.2% | 11h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±15 | 22% ±27 | > 7d | 0.85% | 1.75% | 366 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+3.4%) | 4.1 | 2.4% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 24% ±14 | 52% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±14 | 54% ±28 | 63% ±42 | 2.7d | 1.32% | 0.91% | 224 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,357.56 (+2.4%) | 2.9 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 34% ±16 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±15 | 61% ±28 | 66% ±41 | 1.6d | 1.17% | 0.96% | 214 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 90,947.39–91,167.29 (+0.9%) | 1.0 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 78% ±16 | 48% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 51% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 91% ±19 | 93% ±26 | 5h | 1.36% | 0.75% | 148 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 90,194.45 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 91% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±14 | 47 | 76% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±18 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 1.53% | 0.88% | 115 → 3 | |
| at post · 90,152.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 89,061.4–89,278.19 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 2.3% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 100× | 68% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 35% ±7 | 68% ±16 | 81% ±24 | 86% ±34 | 9h | 1.18% | 1.58% | 185 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 85,821.48–87,810.62 (-2.6%) | 3.1 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 44% ±18 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 10% ±4 | 44% ±18 | 63% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 1.3d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 170 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,567.41 (-4.0%) | 4.7 | 3.3% | 22h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 14% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±12 | 30% ±28 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 90,152.5 | 89,061.4 | 92,357.56 | stop | -2.39% |