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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,393.96–98,628.81 (+8.2%) | 11 | 0.4% | 2h | 9.2d ago · 53× | 4% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±18 | 37% ±36 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 305 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 96,406.08 (+7.1%) | 9.3 | 0.8% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 3% ±4 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±11 | 17% ±23 | > 7d | 0.85% | 1.75% | 413 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+3.6%) | 4.7 | 2.2% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 67× | 23% ±12 | 52% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±12 | 49% ±25 | 60% ±39 | 3.5d | 1.32% | 0.91% | 267 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,288.89 (+2.5%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 89× | 30% ±14 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 30% ±14 | 59% ±26 | 65% ±38 | 1.8d | 1.17% | 0.96% | 250 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 91,343.19 (+1.5%) | 1.9 | 5.0% | 2.1d | 2.6d ago · 71× | 58% ±23 | 44% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 24% ±8 | 58% ±23 | 87% ±27 | 89% ±36 | 15h | 1.37% | 0.78% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 90,839.7 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 2.6d ago · 82× | 78% ±17 | 50% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 36% ±15 | 41 | 53% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 88% ±22 | 90% ±33 | 4h | 1.35% | 0.72% | 139 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 90,194.45 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 2.9d ago · 117× | 90% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±14 | 47 | 75% ±8 | 89% ±13 | 95% ±16 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 1.53% | 0.88% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 90,000.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 89,061.4–89,278.19 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 2.1% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 71% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 38% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 82% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 8h | 1.18% | 1.58% | 182 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 85,786.37–87,762.13 (-2.5%) | 3.2 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 43% ±18 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 9% ±4 | 43% ±18 | 63% ±30 | 70% ±45 | 1.4d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,527.28 (-3.9%) | 5.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 21.8d ago · 37× | 13% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 29% ±28 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 184 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 90,000.8 | 89,061.4 | 92,288.89 | stop | -2.65% |