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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,393.96–98,381.84 (+6.2%) | 8.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 6% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±23 | 42% ±39 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 239 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 96,406.08 (+5.1%) | 6.7 | 0.8% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 7% ±7 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±20 | 28% ±33 | > 7d | 0.85% | 1.75% | 289 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+1.7%) | 2.2 | 2.2% | 16h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 38% ±22 | 54% ±20 | 4% ±7 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 19% ±7 | 39% ±22 | 58% ±39 | 65% ±54 | 1.7d | 1.35% | 0.95% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,151.55 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 81% ±18 | 49% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 62% ±9 | 81% ±17 | 86% ±26 | 90% ±35 | 2h | 1.18% | 0.99% | 118 → 3 | |
| at post · 91,740.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 91,162.77–91,343.19 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 5.1% | 2.1d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 88% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 41% ±16 | 35 | 63% ±9 | 88% ±15 | 92% ±22 | 96% ±21 | 2h | 1.15% | 0.83% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 90,194.45 (-1.7%) | 2.2 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 70% ±19 | 44% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 46% ±14 | 51 | 26% ±7 | 70% ±18 | 86% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 11h | 1.17% | 0.78% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 89,061.4–89,278.19 (-2.7%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 30% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 65% ±33 | 2.9d | 1.18% | 1.58% | 334 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 86,033.34–87,762.13 (-4.3%) | 5.7 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.6d ago · 98× | 27% ±16 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 26% ±16 | 47% ±31 | 55% ±49 | 3.7d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 186 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,774.25 (-5.4%) | 7.1 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 7% ±8 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±20 | 35% ±38 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 259 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 91,740.9 | 93,262.72 | 89,278.19 | target | -1.72% |
| 30d | POC | long | 91,740.9 | 96,406.08 | 86,774.25 | expired | -1.72% |