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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 97,393.96–98,381.84 (+6.4%) | 7.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 7% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 24% ±23 | 42% ±39 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 232 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 96,406.08 (+5.3%) | 6.5 | 0.9% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 9% ±9 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 22% ±21 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 271 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+1.9%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 36% ±21 | 54% ±20 | 4% ±7 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 17% ±7 | 37% ±21 | 60% ±36 | 68% ±53 | 1.8d | 1.35% | 0.95% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 91,916.6–92,220.22 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 2.5d ago · 89× | 82% ±16 | 49% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 40% ±15 | 41 | 61% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±22 | 91% ±33 | 3h | 1.27% | 0.85% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 91,521 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 91,343.19 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 2.3d ago · 63× | 89% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 66% ±11 | 90% ±18 | 91% ±28 | 96% ±28 | 2h | 1.24% | 1.02% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 90,194.45 (-1.4%) | 1.8 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 2.6d ago · 115× | 76% ±17 | 44% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 36% ±8 | 76% ±17 | 88% ±22 | 92% ±30 | 8h | 1.22% | 0.78% | 146 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 89,061.4–89,278.19 (-2.5%) | 3.0 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 100× | 38% ±14 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 70% ±34 | 2.1d | 1.18% | 1.58% | 296 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 86,033.34–87,762.13 (-4.1%) | 5.0 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.6d ago · 98× | 32% ±17 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 49% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 3.2d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 188 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,774.25 (-5.2%) | 6.3 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 10% ±10 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 23% ±23 | 40% ±43 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 227 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 91,521 | 90,194.45 | 92,788.81 | target | +1.36% |
| 14d | POC | short | 91,521 | 89,278.19 | 93,262.72 | expired | +1.36% |