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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-14 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 94,661.84 (+4.8%) | 20 | 0.3% | 1h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 9% ±19 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 370 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+3.3%) | 13 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 23% ±26 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 400 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,357.56 (+2.3%) | 9.3 | 1.4% | 13h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 10% ±7 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 22% ±18 | 32% ±31 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 374 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 91,290.85 (+1.1%) | 4.5 | 1.8% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 71× | 30% ±17 | 43% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 34 | 5% ±3 | 30% ±17 | 57% ±32 | 63% ±47 | 2.2d | 1.38% | 0.81% | 161 → 4 | |
| at post · 90,303.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 90,193.56–90,263.13 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 19h | 2.4d ago · 115× | 90% ±13 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 46% ±13 | 53 | 72% ±8 | 91% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 1.14% | 0.75% | 117 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 89,404.75 (-1.0%) | 4.1 | 0.9% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 30% ±12 | 62% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±12 | 50% ±22 | 67% ±33 | 3.0d | 1.49% | 1.27% | 346 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 89,278.19 (-1.1%) | 4.6 | 0.7% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 21% ±13 | 34% ±17 | 9% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 29 | 5% ±3 | 21% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 52% ±40 | 6.4d | 0.89% | 1.88% | 236 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 86,186.21–87,341.98 (-3.3%) | 13 | 0.9% | 7h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 7% ±9 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 24% ±25 | 37% ±42 | > 7d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 202 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,764.1 (-3.9%) | 16 | 1.1% | 8h | 21.8d ago · 37× | 3% ±4 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±12 | 19% ±25 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 399 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 90,303.5 | 92,357.56 | 89,404.75 | stop | -2.09% |
| 14d | POC | long | 90,303.5 | 93,262.72 | 89,278.19 | stop | -2.09% |