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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-14 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 96,431.54 (+7.0%) | 29 | 0.3% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±9 | 7% ±22 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 213 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+3.4%) | 14 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 2% ±3 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 22% ±27 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 373 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,426.23 (+2.5%) | 10 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 8% ±7 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 20% ±18 | 32% ±30 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 357 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 90,193.56–90,263.13 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 117× | 88% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 44% ±14 | 49 | 69% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 95% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 2h | 1.43% | 0.80% | 148 → 4 | |
| at post · 90,159.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 89,542.09 (-0.7%) | 2.8 | 1.0% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 45% ±15 | 62% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 12% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 64% ±24 | 76% ±32 | 1.4d | 1.49% | 1.27% | 274 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 89,278.19 (-1.0%) | 4.1 | 0.7% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 23% ±14 | 34% ±17 | 9% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±3 | 23% ±14 | 41% ±28 | 54% ±44 | 5.5d | 0.89% | 1.88% | 213 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 87,558.92 (-2.9%) | 12 | 0.8% | 5h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 5% ±5 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 12% ±14 | 22% ±27 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 397 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 86,515.08–87,210.97 (-3.3%) | 14 | 1.0% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 98× | 7% ±9 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 24% ±25 | 37% ±42 | > 7d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 202 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 90,159.3 | 89,278.19 | 93,262.72 | target | +0.59% |