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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,700.37 (+8.1%) | 11 | 1.3% | 6h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±21 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 462 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 93,132.7–93,225.51 (+7.4%) | 9.7 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 89× | 8% ±7 | 52% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 18% ±16 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.27% | 0.98% | 413 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,180.03–90,240.69 (+4.0%) | 5.2 | 5.2% | 2.5d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 16% ±12 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 37% ±27 | 54% ±44 | 5.1d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 224 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,539.08–92,621.52 (+3.3%) | 4.3 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 23% ±13 | 51% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±13 | 53% ±27 | 75% ±34 | 2.7d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 235 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,960.62 (+2.6%) | 3.4 | 2.0% | 13h | 22.4d ago · 50× | 28% ±17 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±17 | 49% ±33 | 82% ±38 | 3.2d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,884.21 (+1.3%) | 1.8 | 2.4% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 76× | 63% ±24 | 50% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 22% ±8 | 63% ±24 | 75% ±38 | 89% ±43 | 15h | 1.71% | 1.03% | 96 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,919 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 22.7d ago · 35× | 77% ±29 | 50% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 57% ±14 | 78% ±29 | 94% ±27 | 98% | 2h | 1.94% | 0.71% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 86,716.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 86,716.7 | 79,935.33 | 90,232.63 | stop | +0.00% |