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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,700.37 (+8.5%) | 11 | 1.3% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 15% ±21 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 461 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 93,132.7–93,225.51 (+7.8%) | 10 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 89× | 7% ±6 | 52% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 17% ±15 | 31% ±29 | > 7d | 1.27% | 0.98% | 420 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,180.03–90,240.69 (+4.4%) | 5.7 | 5.2% | 2.5d | 2.6d ago · 117× | 14% ±11 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±26 | 53% ±40 | 6.3d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 236 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,960.62 (+3.0%) | 3.9 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.1d ago · 51× | 24% ±16 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±16 | 47% ±33 | 82% ±38 | 3.2d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,696.8 (+1.5%) | 2.0 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.4d ago · 76× | 57% ±25 | 50% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 14% ±7 | 57% ±24 | 72% ±39 | 89% ±43 | 17h | 1.71% | 1.03% | 95 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,919 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 22.8d ago · 35× | 75% ±25 | 50% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 48% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 96% ±19 | 99% ±16 | 5h | 1.94% | 0.71% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 86,456.64–87,227.25 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 84% ±17 | 50% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 75% ±8 | 84% ±17 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 1.56% | 1.17% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 86,366 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 86,366 | 79,584.63 | 90,232.63 | stop | -0.66% |