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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,700.37 (+7.7%) | 10 | 1.3% | 6h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±21 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 462 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 93,038.1–93,132.7 (+7.0%) | 9.3 | 2.8% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 9% ±7 | 52% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 19% ±16 | 34% ±29 | > 7d | 1.27% | 0.98% | 412 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,180.03–90,240.69 (+3.7%) | 4.9 | 5.1% | 2.5d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 17% ±12 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 38% ±28 | 55% ±44 | 4.1d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 221 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,539.08–92,621.52 (+2.9%) | 3.9 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 1.7d ago · 79× | 25% ±14 | 50% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±14 | 56% ±27 | 76% ±37 | 2.2d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,960.62 (+2.3%) | 3.0 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 29% ±18 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 6% ±4 | 28% ±18 | 53% ±35 | 83% ±37 | 2.8d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 148 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 87,509.38 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 2.7d ago · 76× | 84% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 59% ±10 | 82% ±19 | 89% ±27 | 97% ±25 | 2h | 1.71% | 1.03% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 86,984 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 86,919 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 22.1d ago · 37× | 91% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 79% ±13 | 92% ±21 | 92% ±37 | 97% | 1h | 0.97% | 2.52% | 37 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 86,984 | 90,232.63 | 85,698.36 | target | +0.27% |