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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 93,227.52–93,438.6 (+7.2%) | 7.9 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.1d ago · 67× | 8% ±7 | 49% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 46% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±16 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 1.24% | 1.15% | 397 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 90,695.42 (+4.3%) | 4.7 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 89× | 22% ±11 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 46% ±22 | 54% ±35 | 4.2d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 340 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 90,159.17–90,240.69 (+3.7%) | 4.0 | 6.2% | 2.8d | 2.9d ago · 117× | 25% ±15 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±15 | 51% ±30 | 64% ±42 | 2.8d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 206 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,670.75–92,461.75 (+3.1%) | 3.4 | 4.9% | 1.8d | 1.8d ago · 79× | 31% ±16 | 50% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±16 | 62% ±29 | 79% ±36 | 1.7d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,770.98 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 51× | 40% ±22 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±22 | 63% ±36 | 87% ±38 | 1.4d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 87,019.3 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 23.1d ago · 35× | 90% ±24 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 71% ±14 | 90% ±22 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 1.81% | 0.74% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 86,946.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 86,103.78 (-1.0%) | 1.1 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 2.6d ago · 100× | 75% ±16 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 42% ±7 | 75% ±16 | 89% ±19 | 93% ±25 | 7h | 1.47% | 1.45% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 86,946.6 | 80,527.3 | 90,159.17 | expired | -1.19% |