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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-18 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 93,132.7–93,438.6 (+7.1%) | 7.8 | 2.9% | 20h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±7 | 49% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 46% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±16 | 31% ±29 | > 7d | 1.24% | 1.15% | 402 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 90,666.04 (+4.3%) | 4.7 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 22% ±11 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 46% ±22 | 54% ±35 | 4.2d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 343 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 90,159.17–90,240.69 (+3.7%) | 4.1 | 5.9% | 2.8d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 25% ±15 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±15 | 51% ±28 | 64% ±42 | 2.8d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 211 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,670.75–90,508.05 (+3.1%) | 3.5 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 32% ±16 | 50% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±16 | 62% ±29 | 79% ±36 | 1.7d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,391.7 (+1.7%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 9h | 22.3d ago · 50× | 47% ±24 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±24 | 70% ±37 | 90% ±41 | 1.1d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 104 → 2 | |
| at post · 86,934.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 86,879.75 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 1.6d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 92% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 60% ±23 | 17 | 79% ±13 | 92% ±21 | 92% ±37 | 97% | 1h | 0.97% | 2.19% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,259.4 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 100× | 78% ±16 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 49% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 90% ±19 | 94% ±22 | 5h | 1.47% | 1.45% | 160 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 86,934.9 | 90,159.17 | 85,699.16 | stop | +1.30% |