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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,438.6 (+7.1%) | 8.1 | 1.9% | 12h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±14 | 21% ±26 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 398 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,037.88 (+6.7%) | 7.5 | 3.2% | 22h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 14% ±9 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 381 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 90,666.04 (+4.0%) | 4.5 | 4.4% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 24% ±11 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 49% ±23 | 56% ±34 | 3.4d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 330 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 90,159.17–90,240.69 (+3.4%) | 3.8 | 5.8% | 2.7d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 26% ±16 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±15 | 53% ±29 | 65% ±42 | 2.7d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 199 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,810.3–90,508.05 (+3.0%) | 3.4 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 32% ±16 | 49% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 8% ±4 | 34% ±16 | 62% ±29 | 79% ±35 | 1.7d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,296.88 (+1.2%) | 1.4 | 2.0% | 9h | 22.3d ago · 50× | 56% ±25 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 25% ±9 | 57% ±24 | 73% ±39 | 93% ±34 | 18h | 2.16% | 0.82% | 93 → 2 | |
| at post · 87,215.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 86,879.75 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.7% | 1.6d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 93% ±19 | 30% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 60% ±23 | 17 | 80% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 93% ±34 | 98% | 1h | 0.97% | 2.19% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,259.4 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 100× | 70% ±16 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 37% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 91% ±25 | 8h | 1.47% | 1.45% | 193 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.