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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,299.05 (+6.0%) | 8.0 | 1.8% | 13h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±14 | 21% ±26 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 398 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 92,753.42 (+5.4%) | 7.2 | 3.2% | 23h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 15% ±9 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 30% ±20 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 367 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 90,159.17–90,411.81 (+2.5%) | 3.3 | 5.0% | 2.4d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 31% ±13 | 47% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 42% ±14 | 51 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±13 | 57% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 2.3d | 1.48% | 0.82% | 281 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 89,670.75–90,508.05 (+1.9%) | 2.6 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 45% ±19 | 49% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 13% ±5 | 44% ±18 | 73% ±29 | 85% ±35 | 1.3d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 166 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,984.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 87,917.6 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 83% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 59% ±17 | 31 | 65% ±12 | 83% ±23 | 88% ±36 | 90% | 1h | 0.78% | 1.97% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 86,182–87,437.95 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 2.5d ago · 98× | 86% ±13 | 55% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 28% ±12 | 55 | 65% ±8 | 86% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 93% ±24 | 1h | 1.26% | 0.71% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,740.2 (-1.4%) | 1.9 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 57% ±37 | 33% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 57% ±23 | 18 | 31% ±14 | 57% ±37 | 67% ±65 | 81% | 11h | 1.07% | 2.09% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,259.4 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 100× | 49% ±15 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 15% ±4 | 49% ±15 | 70% ±23 | 79% ±33 | 1.1d | 1.47% | 1.45% | 264 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.