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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 92,830.11–93,159.5 (+8.5%) | 9.0 | 3.4% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 6% ±5 | 49% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 46% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 14% ±13 | 26% ±26 | > 7d | 1.24% | 1.15% | 455 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,159.17–90,242.78 (+5.4%) | 5.7 | 5.9% | 2.8d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 19% ±12 | 48% ±15 | 14% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 45 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±12 | 40% ±27 | 57% ±40 | 5.5d | 1.58% | 0.70% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 89,477.94 (+4.6%) | 4.9 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 20% ±10 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 43% ±22 | 52% ±35 | 6.5d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 350 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 87,553.98 (+2.3%) | 2.5 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 22.4d ago · 50× | 42% ±21 | 42% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 10% ±5 | 45% ±21 | 65% ±35 | 87% ±39 | 1.3d | 2.19% | 0.87% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,600.65 (+1.2%) | 1.3 | 5.5% | 1.5d | 22.7d ago · 35× | 75% ±23 | 46% ±20 | 15% ±15 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 35% ±10 | 76% ±22 | 96% ±16 | 99% ±15 | 8h | 1.91% | 0.77% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 86,195.34 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 5.0% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 85% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 64% ±7 | 85% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±21 | 2h | 1.53% | 0.84% | 170 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 86,042.45–87,437.95 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 85% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 71% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 92% ±18 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.49% | 1.22% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 85,572.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 85,572.06 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.7% | 14h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 86% ±19 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±13 | 50 | 70% ±10 | 87% ±19 | 91% ±27 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.48% | 1.36% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 85,572.9 | 86,195.34 | 84,869 | target | +2.80% |