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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 92,830.11–93,159.5 (+6.6%) | 6.5 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 12% ±9 | 49% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 46% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 27% ±20 | 38% ±34 | 6.8d | 1.24% | 1.15% | 342 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,159.17–90,242.78 (+3.5%) | 3.5 | 6.4% | 3.0d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 32% ±17 | 48% ±15 | 14% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 45 | 7% ±4 | 31% ±17 | 60% ±30 | 69% ±45 | 2.1d | 1.58% | 0.70% | 171 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 89,670.75–90,508.05 (+3.0%) | 2.9 | 5.1% | 1.9d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 38% ±17 | 49% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 11% ±4 | 38% ±17 | 67% ±29 | 84% ±36 | 1.5d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 188 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 89,291.97 (+2.5%) | 2.5 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 43% ±17 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 10% ±4 | 42% ±17 | 64% ±28 | 69% ±40 | 1.3d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 201 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 87,452.52 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 22.4d ago · 50× | 72% ±33 | 42% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 55% ±15 | 72% ±31 | 85% ±40 | 98% | 3h | 2.19% | 0.87% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 87,073.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 86,188.13–86,600.65 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 6.2% | 1.7d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 87% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 50% ±13 | 54 | 66% ±7 | 87% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 2h | 1.14% | 1.13% | 178 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 85,484.6 (-1.8%) | 1.8 | 2.8% | 15h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 60% ±16 | 60% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±13 | 50 | 23% ±6 | 60% ±16 | 81% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 15h | 1.48% | 1.36% | 208 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 87,073.5 | 90,159.17 | 85,420.06 | expired | +1.36% |