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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,831.96 (+5.9%) | 9.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±10 | 16% ±22 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 90,128.61–90,193.56 (+2.9%) | 4.4 | 4.7% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 27% ±13 | 51% ±16 | 9% ±9 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±13 | 53% ±25 | 63% ±39 | 2.6d | 1.65% | 0.75% | 269 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+2.1%) | 3.3 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 36% ±16 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 9% ±4 | 35% ±16 | 65% ±27 | 82% ±33 | 1.7d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 217 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 89,113.3 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 18h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 41% ±16 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 10% ±4 | 41% ±16 | 62% ±27 | 67% ±41 | 1.5d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 217 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 88,091.89–88,171.76 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 83% ±14 | 46% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 63% ±7 | 83% ±13 | 92% ±17 | 94% ±24 | 2h | 1.56% | 0.79% | 180 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,626.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 87,232.08 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 94% ±15 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 81% ±10 | 95% ±14 | 95% ±25 | 98% | 1h | 1.17% | 2.19% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,513.34 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 20h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 57% ±16 | 59% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 20% ±5 | 57% ±16 | 78% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 18h | 1.49% | 1.45% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,813.51 (-2.1%) | 3.2 | 2.4% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 34% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±16 | 51% ±30 | 65% ±42 | 2.8d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 87,626.1 | 90,193.56 | 86,224.1 | expired | -0.11% |