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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,831.96 (+6.6%) | 10 | 2.5% | 15h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±20 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 488 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 90,028.26–90,193.56 (+3.3%) | 5.1 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 71× | 23% ±11 | 51% ±16 | 9% ±9 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 44% ±23 | 56% ±34 | 4.4d | 1.65% | 0.75% | 327 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+2.7%) | 4.2 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 25% ±13 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±13 | 55% ±26 | 78% ±33 | 2.3d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 260 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 89,113.3 (+2.3%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 18h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 30% ±13 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±13 | 56% ±25 | 63% ±36 | 2.0d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 277 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 88,091.89–88,171.76 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 2.6d ago · 117× | 62% ±20 | 46% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 27% ±7 | 62% ±20 | 81% ±27 | 87% ±38 | 13h | 1.56% | 0.79% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 87,232.08 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 22.8d ago · 35× | 85% ±24 | 44% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 69% ±13 | 85% ±24 | 96% ±23 | 98% | 1h | 1.80% | 0.79% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 87,110.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 86,513.34 (-0.7%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 75% ±15 | 59% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 42% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 88% ±20 | 92% ±26 | 7h | 1.49% | 1.45% | 185 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,813.51 (-1.5%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 47% ±21 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 14% ±6 | 47% ±21 | 60% ±36 | 71% ±51 | 1.3d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 132 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 87,110.6 | 87,070.55 | 90,193.56 | target | -0.72% |