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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,831.96 (+6.2%) | 9.9 | 2.5% | 14h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±20 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 486 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 89,927.91–90,193.56 (+2.9%) | 4.6 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 71× | 24% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 9% ±9 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±12 | 48% ±24 | 59% ±36 | 3.4d | 1.65% | 0.75% | 291 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+2.4%) | 3.8 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 28% ±14 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 59% ±26 | 79% ±32 | 2.0d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 247 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 89,175.21 (+2.0%) | 3.2 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 31% ±14 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 4% ±2 | 30% ±13 | 58% ±25 | 66% ±38 | 1.9d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 267 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 88,091.89–88,171.76 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 2.6d ago · 117× | 74% ±16 | 46% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 46% ±7 | 74% ±16 | 87% ±21 | 90% ±30 | 6h | 1.56% | 0.78% | 175 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,393.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 87,232.08 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 21.8d ago · 37× | 93% ±18 | 35% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 80% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 94% ±27 | 98% | 1h | 1.21% | 2.09% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,637.14 (-0.9%) | 1.4 | 3.4% | 21h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 68% ±16 | 59% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 32% ±6 | 68% ±16 | 85% ±21 | 90% ±27 | 9h | 1.49% | 1.45% | 202 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,813.51 (-1.8%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 37% ±18 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 10% ±4 | 36% ±17 | 54% ±31 | 68% ±46 | 2.4d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 87,393.1 | 90,193.56 | 86,224.1 | expired | +0.16% |