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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,831.96 (+6.4%) | 11 | 2.4% | 13h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±9 | 14% ±20 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 496 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 90,193.56 (+3.4%) | 5.6 | 4.6% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 23% ±14 | 48% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 53% ±44 | 4.6d | 1.83% | 0.66% | 223 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,927.91 (+3.1%) | 5.1 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 22% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 45% ±23 | 57% ±34 | 4.3d | 1.41% | 0.86% | 327 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+2.6%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 25% ±13 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±13 | 55% ±25 | 78% ±33 | 2.3d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 264 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,989.5 (+2.0%) | 3.3 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 31% ±13 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 4% ±2 | 31% ±13 | 57% ±25 | 65% ±35 | 1.9d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 88,091.89–88,171.76 (+1.0%) | 1.6 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 65% ±19 | 46% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 31% ±8 | 64% ±19 | 82% ±27 | 87% ±38 | 12h | 1.56% | 0.78% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 87,250.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 87,232.08 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 93% ±19 | 35% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 82% ±11 | 93% ±18 | 93% ±35 | 98% | 1h | 1.21% | 2.09% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,513.34 (-0.8%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 17h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 67% ±16 | 59% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 32% ±6 | 68% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 90% ±26 | 10h | 1.49% | 1.45% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,813.51 (-1.6%) | 2.7 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 39% ±18 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 10% ±4 | 38% ±18 | 55% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 2.3d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 87,250.6 | 90,193.56 | 86,224.1 | expired | +0.91% |