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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,939.65 (+5.6%) | 17 | 1.3% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±18 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 462 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 90,193.56 (+2.4%) | 7.5 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 2.6d ago · 71× | 15% ±11 | 48% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 1.83% | 0.66% | 266 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+1.6%) | 5.0 | 1.9% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 20% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±12 | 46% ±25 | 72% ±33 | 3.9d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 278 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,343.5 (+1.5%) | 4.5 | 1.7% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 67× | 24% ±12 | 57% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±12 | 51% ±24 | 60% ±36 | 2.8d | 1.41% | 0.86% | 288 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,803.78 (+0.9%) | 2.6 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 38% ±16 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 8% ±4 | 38% ±15 | 60% ±27 | 66% ±42 | 1.5d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 225 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 88,091.89–88,109.77 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 22h | 2.6d ago · 117× | 88% ±13 | 47% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 73% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 95% ±15 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 1.58% | 0.77% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 88,042 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 87,339.77 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 17h | 21.8d ago · 37× | 42% ±28 | 33% ±20 | 13% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 21% ±9 | 43% ±28 | 57% ±48 | 69% ±64 | 1.6d | 1.17% | 1.99% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,699.05 (-1.5%) | 4.7 | 1.7% | 11h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 26% ±11 | 60% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 52 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 65% ±31 | 4.2d | 1.53% | 1.36% | 383 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,779.41 (-2.6%) | 7.9 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 9% ±7 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 24% ±19 | 43% ±34 | > 7d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 351 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 88,042 | 86,699.05 | 88,803.78 | stop | +1.39% |
| 14d | POC | short | 88,042 | 85,779.41 | 89,343.5 | stop | +1.39% |