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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,939.65 (+5.8%) | 17 | 1.3% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±18 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 452 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 90,193.56 (+2.7%) | 8.1 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 12% ±10 | 48% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 23% ±21 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 1.83% | 0.66% | 272 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,493.57–90,462.78 (+1.9%) | 5.7 | 2.0% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 18% ±11 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±11 | 40% ±24 | 68% ±34 | 4.4d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 284 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,252.11 (+1.6%) | 4.8 | 1.7% | 13h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 22% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 46% ±23 | 57% ±34 | 4.3d | 1.41% | 0.86% | 323 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,714.88 (+1.0%) | 3.0 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 32% ±14 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 57% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 1.9d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 255 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 88,109.77–88,137.49 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 1.0d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 82% ±13 | 47% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 61% ±7 | 83% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 94% ±21 | 2h | 1.58% | 0.77% | 194 → 5 | |
| at post · 87,844.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 87,339.77 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 16h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 76% ±30 | 33% ±20 | 13% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 49% ±14 | 75% ±28 | 79% ±46 | 90% | 5h | 1.17% | 1.99% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,952.32 (-1.0%) | 3.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 44% ±13 | 60% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 52 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 77% ±29 | 1.4d | 1.53% | 1.36% | 322 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,779.41 (-2.4%) | 7.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 10% ±8 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 26% ±20 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 338 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 87,844.7 | 85,779.41 | 89,252.11 | stop | +0.34% |