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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,785.85 (+2.9%) | 5.9 | 1.3% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 11% ±9 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 23% ±21 | 30% ±34 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 291 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 89,385.88–90,355.09 (+1.3%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 39% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 13% ±5 | 41% ±16 | 73% ±25 | 88% ±29 | 1.4d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 209 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,865.69 (+0.7%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 55% ±24 | 56% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 33% ±9 | 56% ±24 | 69% ±37 | 72% ±62 | 15h | 1.53% | 0.86% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,484.75 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 83% ±15 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 61% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 89% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 1.33% | 1.03% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 88,226.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 87,844.27 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 4.4% | 1.7d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 89% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 64% ±8 | 88% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 98% ±17 | 2h | 0.93% | 0.74% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 87,500.24–87,501.31 (-0.8%) | 1.7 | 4.5% | 2.3d | 2.3d ago · 115× | 77% ±16 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 34% ±7 | 76% ±16 | 87% ±22 | 92% ±27 | 8h | 1.20% | 0.88% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 86,760.95–86,837.21 (-1.6%) | 3.2 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 36% ±12 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 9% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 55% ±22 | 69% ±32 | 2.5d | 1.31% | 1.45% | 343 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,724.42 (-2.8%) | 5.8 | 1.5% | 7h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 12% ±10 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±10 | 27% ±23 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 260 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 88,226.3 | 87,500.24 | 88,781.31 | stop | +0.51% |