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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,785.85 (+2.8%) | 5.7 | 1.3% | 5h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 12% ±10 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 25% ±22 | 31% ±34 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 278 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 89,385.88–90,355.09 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 3.0% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 42% ±17 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 13% ±5 | 44% ±17 | 75% ±26 | 89% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,865.69 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 58% ±23 | 56% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 40% ±9 | 60% ±23 | 72% ±36 | 75% ±49 | 7h | 1.53% | 0.86% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,605.3 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 20h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 80% ±16 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 58% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 88% ±21 | 90% ±29 | 3h | 1.33% | 1.03% | 155 → 4 | |
| at post · 88,287.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 87,844.27 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 2.2d ago · 85× | 88% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 61% ±8 | 87% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 97% ±19 | 2h | 0.93% | 0.74% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 87,500.24–87,501.31 (-0.9%) | 1.8 | 4.5% | 2.3d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 73% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 30% ±7 | 72% ±17 | 84% ±24 | 90% ±30 | 10h | 1.20% | 0.88% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 86,760.95–86,917.58 (-1.6%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 37% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±13 | 55% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 2.9d | 1.31% | 1.45% | 338 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,724.42 (-2.9%) | 5.8 | 1.4% | 7h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 12% ±10 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 27% ±22 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 266 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 88,287.3 | 87,500.24 | 88,909.1 | stop | +0.82% |