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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-01-02 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,597.9 (+2.3%) | 7.9 | 0.8% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 4% ±4 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 11% ±12 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 454 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 89,583.26–90,293.51 (+1.1%) | 3.9 | 1.9% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 28% ±13 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 5% ±3 | 28% ±13 | 61% ±24 | 80% ±29 | 2.0d | 1.64% | 1.15% | 285 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 88,721.86–88,816.52 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.6d ago · 89× | 79% ±17 | 52% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 60% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 84% ±25 | 87% ±38 | 3h | 1.39% | 0.96% | 137 → 3 | |
| at post · 88,595.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 87,861.62–87,909.11 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 57% ±17 | 43% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 62 | 16% ±5 | 57% ±17 | 76% ±25 | 84% ±32 | 20h | 1.10% | 0.83% | 191 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 87,182.92–87,203.8 (-1.6%) | 5.5 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 17% ±9 | 51% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±9 | 34% ±19 | 51% ±31 | 5.4d | 1.31% | 1.37% | 409 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,133.49 (-2.8%) | 9.8 | 0.9% | 5h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 6% ±6 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 15% ±15 | 28% ±29 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 392 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 88,595.1 | 87,877.32 | 88,998.87 | stop | -1.72% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 88,595.1 | 87,861.62 | 89,106.81 | stop | -1.72% |