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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-01-02 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,597.9 (+1.6%) | 5.2 | 0.9% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 16% ±11 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 31% ±25 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 239 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,684.73–90,293.51 (+0.6%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 52% ±19 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 22% ±6 | 52% ±19 | 78% ±27 | 89% ±31 | 22h | 1.64% | 1.15% | 159 → 4 | |
| at post · 89,138.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 87,046.66–88,974.48 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 91% ±11 | 52% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 26% ±11 | 62 | 74% ±7 | 91% ±11 | 95% ±16 | 95% ±22 | 1h | 1.14% | 0.83% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 88,721.86–88,858.96 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 72× | 69% ±23 | 38% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 54% ±17 | 33 | 40% ±10 | 69% ±23 | 79% ±35 | 85% ±50 | 8h | 1.18% | 1.23% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 87,861.62–87,909.11 (-1.4%) | 4.4 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 32% ±16 | 43% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 62 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 58% ±29 | 71% ±40 | 2.2d | 1.10% | 0.83% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 87,182.92–87,246.24 (-2.1%) | 6.7 | 2.7% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 13% ±8 | 51% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 29% ±19 | 48% ±33 | 6.3d | 1.31% | 1.37% | 388 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,234.95 (-3.3%) | 10 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 5% ±5 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 14% ±14 | 27% ±27 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 414 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 89,138.2 | 90,750.92 | 87,861.62 | target | +0.55% |