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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,179.42 (+1.7%) | 3.8 | 0.4% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 38× | 28% ±14 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 52% ±27 | 65% ±42 | 2.9d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 226 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 78,078.9–78,239.94 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 89× | 79% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±11 | 74 | 55% ±6 | 79% ±12 | 86% ±18 | 89% ±25 | 3h | 1.55% | 1.05% | 252 → 6 | |
| at post · 77,847.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 77,551.4–77,690.27 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.2% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 115× | 88% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 102 | 66% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 2h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 343 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 75,321.33–76,561.43 (-1.7%) | 3.7 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 36% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 96 | 6% ±2 | 36% ±12 | 57% ±21 | 74% ±29 | 2.0d | 1.52% | 0.86% | 394 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,106.49 (-2.2%) | 5.0 | 2.7% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 22% ±7 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 4% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 42% ±15 | 55% ±24 | 5.5d | 1.60% | 1.45% | 712 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,751.96 (-2.7%) | 6.0 | 2.7% | 19h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 13% ±7 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 28% ±15 | 40% ±26 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 604 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,392.28–73,667.86 (-5.4%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 7% ±9 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 16% ±22 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,601.03 (-8.0%) | 18 | 2.0% | 15h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 19% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 709 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 77,847.2 | 78,078.9 | 76,106.49 | target | +0.41% |
| 14d | POC | long | 77,847.2 | 78,239.94 | 75,751.96 | target | +0.41% |
| 30d | POC | long | 77,847.2 | 79,179.42 | 71,601.03 | expired | +0.41% |