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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,179.42 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 44% ±20 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 81% ±44 | 1.2d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,413.52 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 67× | 81% ±15 | 56% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 59% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 85% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 2h | 1.69% | 1.06% | 162 → 4 | |
| at post · 78,175.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 78,033.03 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 2.2d ago · 72× | 88% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 51 | 69% ±9 | 88% ±15 | 90% ±24 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.28% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 77,551.4–77,690.27 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 115× | 79% ±12 | 44% ±10 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 102 | 44% ±6 | 79% ±12 | 88% ±17 | 92% ±20 | 6h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 274 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 75,321.33–76,561.43 (-2.1%) | 4.1 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 33% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 96 | 5% ±2 | 32% ±11 | 53% ±21 | 73% ±28 | 2.6d | 1.52% | 0.86% | 402 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,968.88 (-2.8%) | 5.6 | 2.8% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 19% ±7 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 38% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 6.3d | 1.60% | 1.45% | 717 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,751.96 (-3.1%) | 6.1 | 3.0% | 22h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 13% ±6 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 28% ±15 | 40% ±25 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 611 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 73,392.28–73,667.86 (-5.8%) | 11 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 9% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±24 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 206 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,738.82 (-8.2%) | 16 | 2.2% | 14h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 745 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 78,175.4 | 77,690.27 | 78,892.6 | expired | -0.31% |