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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-01 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,179.42 (+1.7%) | 3.2 | 0.5% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 38× | 33% ±17 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 33% ±17 | 61% ±30 | 74% ±43 | 1.7d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,471.38 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 66% ±16 | 56% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 35% ±7 | 66% ±16 | 80% ±24 | 84% ±33 | 9h | 1.69% | 1.06% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,170.64 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.1d ago · 89× | 82% ±11 | 48% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 74 | 57% ±6 | 82% ±11 | 89% ±16 | 92% ±22 | 2h | 1.45% | 1.05% | 268 → 6 | |
| at post · 77,838.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,551.4–77,732.64 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 115× | 89% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 102 | 69% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 317 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 75,321.33–76,561.43 (-1.6%) | 3.0 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 43% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 96 | 10% ±3 | 43% ±12 | 63% ±21 | 77% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.52% | 0.86% | 371 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,014.75 (-2.3%) | 4.3 | 3.1% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 26% ±8 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 47% ±16 | 59% ±24 | 3.9d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 680 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,751.96 (-2.7%) | 4.9 | 3.2% | 23h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 18% ±8 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 34% ±18 | 46% ±28 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 500 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 73,392.28–73,667.86 (-5.4%) | 9.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 13% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±10 | 27% ±23 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 246 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,876.61 (-7.7%) | 14 | 2.0% | 11h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 22% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 788 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 77,838.2 | 77,551.4 | 78,558.7 | stop | -0.74% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 77,838.2 | 77,690.27 | 78,960.88 | expired | -0.74% |