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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,190.7 (+0.9%) | 3.1 | 0.2% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 33% ±17 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 35% ±17 | 64% ±30 | 76% ±42 | 1.5d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,587.1 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 67× | 85% ±15 | 55% ±13 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 57 | 62% ±8 | 86% ±14 | 88% ±23 | 91% ±32 | 2h | 1.66% | 1.01% | 145 → 3 | |
| at post · 78,499.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 77,076.3–78,397.8 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 1.2% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 90% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 96 | 70% ±6 | 91% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 1.52% | 0.86% | 251 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,124.77 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 1.9% | 15h | 2.2d ago · 72× | 58% ±19 | 40% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 52 | 26% ±7 | 58% ±19 | 74% ±29 | 82% ±38 | 15h | 1.24% | 1.27% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,670.98–77,690.27 (-1.0%) | 3.7 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±15 | 45% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±15 | 54% ±27 | 63% ±39 | 2.5d | 1.33% | 0.93% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 76,129.43 (-3.0%) | 11 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 115× | 7% ±8 | 43% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 29% ±25 | 52% ±44 | 6.4d | 1.28% | 0.95% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,867.68 (-3.4%) | 12 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 4% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±10 | 26% ±20 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 743 → 18 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,739.53 (-3.5%) | 13 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 5% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 454 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,376.1–73,640.4 (-6.2%) | 22 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,318.9 (-7.9%) | 28 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±21 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 444 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 78,499.9 | 77,690.27 | 79,076.6 | stop | -0.01% |