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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,193.4 (+1.4%) | 5.1 | 0.2% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 17% ±9 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±9 | 39% ±21 | 53% ±33 | 6.5d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 372 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,721.08 (+0.8%) | 2.8 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 89× | 34% ±11 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 75 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±11 | 60% ±20 | 71% ±28 | 1.9d | 1.44% | 1.03% | 419 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,587.1 (+0.6%) | 2.2 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 67× | 49% ±16 | 55% ±13 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 57 | 20% ±5 | 49% ±16 | 71% ±25 | 78% ±33 | 1.0d | 1.66% | 1.01% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 78,147.71 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 117× | 90% ±9 | 42% ±9 | 9% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 104 | 78% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 96% ±11 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 1.49% | 1.05% | 234 → 6 | |
| at post · 78,132.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,689.21–77,690.27 (-0.6%) | 2.1 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 63% ±18 | 45% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 24% ±6 | 62% ±17 | 76% ±27 | 82% ±38 | 14h | 1.33% | 0.93% | 179 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 75,400.23–76,446.62 (-2.2%) | 8.1 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 15% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 97 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 37% ±20 | 59% ±32 | 4.9d | 1.44% | 0.84% | 397 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,289.97 (-2.4%) | 8.9 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 9% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 25% ±14 | 43% ±25 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 637 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,867.68 (-2.9%) | 11 | 1.5% | 10h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 4% ±4 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±11 | 27% ±20 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 752 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 73,307.45–73,569.05 (-5.8%) | 22 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±16 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,261.06 (-7.5%) | 28 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±22 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 441 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 78,132.3 | 76,289.97 | 78,721.08 | stop | -2.77% |